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Risk warning

thorped.io is impersonal model output from public Polymarket data — not investment advice. No positions ever settled. Binary contracts can lose 100% of stake.

ATwo-leg basis

PendingMath basis: Synthetic-stack iron condor (NEAR-FAR)Path-dependent: NO
Legs4
Branches2
CategoryBeginner
LifecyclePending

Strategy semantics

4-leg synthetic-stack variant with leg roles distinct from NESTED-4L (NEAR-FAR YES-pair structure). 0 candidates encountered in production — the required market structure may not exist on current Polymarket inventory.

When it works · when it fails

Works when
  • Verify production utility first — 0 emits historically
  • Requires a NEAR-FAR YES-pair structure which is rare on current inventory
Fails when
  • Required market structure may not exist on Polymarket — historical hit rate is exactly zero
  • NESTED-4L typically expresses the same view with a known-good geometry

Current availability

Pending — adapter ready but not enabled in production.
Public list rows are withheld until A passes its enablement gates and evidence review.
[DEFERRED — Phase 5d activation pending]