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Risk warning

thorped.io is impersonal model output from public Polymarket data — not investment advice. No positions ever settled. Binary contracts can lose 100% of stake.

Variants

Polymarket Finder tracks 11 current corridor variant families. Each family has unique math, leg geometry, lifecycle state, and risk profile. Three historical variants (G, B-ADJ-HOLD, C-ADJ-DOWN) were removed on 2026-05-16 after live-data forensic — see the removal rationale.

Active

5Managed by the production decision engine; B-ADJ-PRE remains gated.
NESTED-4LActive

4-leg iron condor: outer NO insurance + inner YES touch bonuses. The flagship corridor.

multi-leg-fixed·4 legs·Advanced
WINGED-NNActive

Outer YES wings + inner NO body; carry with lottery hedges outside the range.

multi-leg-fixed·4 legs·Advanced
B-ADJ-PREActive (gated)

2-leg adjacent-strike bet using synthetic-NO basis and pre-adjusted drift.

multi-leg-fixed·2 legs·Advanced
T-PAIRActive

Temporal pair: 2 legs on same market, different expiries; profits from term-structure mispricing.

two-leg-directional·2 legs·Advanced
RANGE-NNActive

2-leg symmetric NO + NO floor range setup on a single event.

variable-leg·2 legs·Beginner

Research-only

1Docs/catalog-only; excluded from main opportunity ranking and filters.
C-DEEPResearch-only

Research-only single-leg stream; retained for forensic evidence, not public opportunity ranking.

single-leg·1 leg·Tail

Manual

1Created upstream in the bot/collector layer (FR-015).
RANGE-CARRYManual

2-3 leg range carry with optional tail hedge. Created upstream in the bot/collector layer.

variable-leg·2 legs·Advanced

Pending

1Sound designs being wired; no public opportunity rows yet.
APending

4-leg synthetic-stack (NEAR-FAR YES-pair). 0 emits in production to date.

multi-leg-fixed·4 legs·Beginner

Disabled

3Analysed and disabled; shown for transparency only.
DDisabled

Disabled single-leg cap model; shown for transparency only.

single-leg·1 leg·Beginner
E-MAKERDisabled

Disabled single-leg maker-rebate model; shown for transparency only.

single-leg·1 leg·Advanced
FDisabled

Disabled single-leg theta heuristic; shown for transparency only.

single-leg·1 leg·Beginner

Removed

32026-05-16 · PR #199

Three variants (G, B-ADJ-HOLD, C-ADJ-DOWN) were removed after empirical forensic. Historical signals remain readable; new pipeline emissions are blocked.

Read removal rationale ↗