C-DEEPSingle-leg

Research-onlyMath basis: Black–Scholes digital put (single-barrier survival probability)Path-dependent: NO

Research-only

Docs/catalog-only after C-DEEP produced fabricated edge from model-vs-market disagreement on deep liquidity. This variant is shown for transparency in the catalog and is not included in main opportunity ranking, filters, APR totals, or capacity totals.

Legs1

Branches2

CategoryTail

LifecycleResearch-only

Strategy semantics

Research-only single-leg deep-OTM NO model. It remains in the catalog because prior candidates exposed a structural model-vs-market disagreement, including the fabricated +509,744% APR incident where a liquid market priced the outcome near zero while the model priced it near certainty.

When it works · when it fails

Works when

For forensic comparison of model output against liquid market prices
For historical analysis of single-leg disagreement between estimated survival probability and the order book
For validating future guardrails before any status change is considered

Fails when

Any public ranking, APR total, capacity total, or main-list filter surface
Any interpretation that treats a positive model result as deployable alpha
Markets where the book has deep liquidity on the opposite side of the model output

How to enter

Read-only mechanics and sizing context. Public docs expose no wallet, order, or account-specific controls.

Step 1Catalog-only: no main-list row, no filter chip, and no public APR/capacity surface.

Step 2Single-leg geometry is retained only so historical research rows stay explainable.

Step 3Status can change only after evidence proves model-market agreement across the relevant regimes.

Sizing1.0

How to exit

Read-only scenario notes for path, timing, and barrier risk. Any off-dashboard workflow remains outside this public interface.

Research notes should be evaluated against realized outcomes, not headline model APR.Read-only

Downstream consumers must check the research-only reason before sorting by economics.Read-only

No public action surface is provided from this documentation.Read-only

C-DEEPSingle-leg

Research-onlyMath basis: Black–Scholes digital put (single-barrier survival probability)Path-dependent: NO

Research-only

Legs1

Branches2

CategoryTail

LifecycleResearch-only

Strategy semantics

When it works · when it fails

Works when

For forensic comparison of model output against liquid market prices
For historical analysis of single-leg disagreement between estimated survival probability and the order book
For validating future guardrails before any status change is considered

Fails when

Any public ranking, APR total, capacity total, or main-list filter surface
Any interpretation that treats a positive model result as deployable alpha
Markets where the book has deep liquidity on the opposite side of the model output

How to enter

Read-only mechanics and sizing context. Public docs expose no wallet, order, or account-specific controls.

Step 1Catalog-only: no main-list row, no filter chip, and no public APR/capacity surface.

Step 2Single-leg geometry is retained only so historical research rows stay explainable.

Step 3Status can change only after evidence proves model-market agreement across the relevant regimes.

Sizing1.0

How to exit

Read-only scenario notes for path, timing, and barrier risk. Any off-dashboard workflow remains outside this public interface.

Research notes should be evaluated against realized outcomes, not headline model APR.Read-only

Downstream consumers must check the research-only reason before sorting by economics.Read-only

No public action surface is provided from this documentation.Read-only