thorped.io is impersonal model output from public Polymarket data — not investment advice. No positions ever settled. Binary contracts can lose 100% of stake.
B-ADJ-PRETwo-leg directional
Active (gated)Math basis: Synthetic-NO basis (BUY NO + SELL YES) with directional drift overlayPath-dependent: NO
Legs2
Branches2
CategoryAdvanced
LifecycleActive (gated)
Strategy semantics
2-leg directional bet using synthetic-NO basis. Buy NO@K_upper (insurance against upside) + Sell YES@K_lower (synthetic NO, profits when spot stays above K_lower). Net: bullish-bias position with capped downside.
When it works · when it fails
Works when
Asymmetric corridor expectation (more downside risk than upside)
K_upper deep OTM (insurance cheap)
K_lower close to spot (premium harvest on synthetic NO)
Fails when
Spot drifts down below K_lower → synthetic NO becomes obligation
BID-side liquidity thin on YES@K_lower → entry/exit slippage high