thorped.io is impersonal model output from public Polymarket data — not investment advice. No positions ever settled. Binary contracts can lose 100% of stake.
4-leg iron-condor on underlying. Outer NOs (deep OTM) form insurance — almost guaranteed payout. Inner YESes (closer to spot) are touch options with asymmetric upside. Setup is profitable when underlying stays in the stay-tight zone or just touches one inner barrier.
When it works · when it fails
Works when
Underlying volatility low-to-moderate (σ ≈ 0.20–0.40 for crypto)
Time to expiry 5–30 days (sweet spot: 10–20d)
Spot close to centre of outer corridor
Liquid market on ALL 4 legs
Fails when
High vol regime (σ > 0.6) → outer breach probability dominates
T < 3d (insufficient time for inner touches) → T-cap rejects
Spot drift far from corridor centre → asymmetric breach risk
How to enter
Read-only mechanics and sizing context. Public docs expose no wallet, order, or account-specific controls.